100% hit rate bitcoin super signal flashes again – what happens next is never boring

The market surged with each bitcoin super signal flashing forward. It’s back, showing potential momentum.

The quiet volume of Bitcoin may still be the biggest signal

Bitcoin (BTC) prices have eased slightly since peaking at $111,970 on May 22, returning to about $103,300 as of June 6, down about 8%.

Bitcoin Price Chart | Source: crypto.news

Despite the decline, the institutional appetite appears to remain intact. The US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of around $5.24 billion during May, suggesting that investors’ interest has not been reduced due to slowing price momentum.

On the other hand, the sentiment indicator shows a neutral image. The cipher’s fear and greedy index is at 46, placing the market in a “neutral” zone, awaiting further triggers.

Among this, Cryptocon, an analyst on the chain, highlights a rare but historically consistent pattern known as the “Bitcoin Super Signal.” The signal is triggered when trading volume drops to a very low level while prices remain on a broader level.

Based on Cryptocon data, current trading volumes are at the lowest level since 2014. Only three previous instances met the same criteria. Each was followed by a significant bull run.

So far, there is no clear evidence that the current cycle has peaked. Bitcoin continues to trade within its bullish territory, but volume continues to decline. Historically, this combination has preceded sharp upward movements, even when the market appears quiet on the surface.

To understand what this signal means now, we need to see what it was before, how each one unfolded, and why it tends to emerge when market conditions seem to be incorrectly calm.

Bitcoin Super Signal Decoding

In the history of Bitcoin charts, sharp gatherings often appear after long periods of low activity. Volume Oscillator Super Signal is one of the few indicators that capture this pattern using volume rather than price as the main input.

This highlights the moment when trading activity has declined to historically low levels, but the broader trend is upwards. Only four such signals appeared. December 2012, October 2016, September 2023, and most recently June 2025.

The indicator works by applying the volume oscillator to the Bitcoin monthly chart. When volumes fall below defined thresholds during Bull trends, it indicates a change in market structure. Most sellers are likely to have left, and buyers may have accumulated with minimal resistance.

From a fluidity perspective, this means a drop in supply pressure. As a result, even moderate demand will result in higher prices as market momentum returns.

In 2012, the signal was displayed while Bitcoin was trading under $15. The following year, prices skyrocketed over 10,600%, and the 2013 Bull Cycle formed, attracting the mainstream attention of Bitcoin.

The next instance took place in October 2016, when Bitcoin was standing at nearly $700. The subsequent cycle peaked at around $20,000 in the second half of 2017, up 3,461% from the signal to the top of the cycle.

In both cases, signals appeared during periods of low capacity, not during retail frenzy moments. Prices were steadily rising, but greater interest had not yet returned.

The same pattern was repeated in September 2023. Bitcoin was trading for around $25,000. Volume fell to “extremely low” zones, and the market was cautious due to macro uncertainty. Within six months, Bitcoin had hit $75,000, a 200% increase.

Institutional investors are still buying dip

The latest super signal came out in June 2025 as the volume oscillator fell into an extremely low zone.

While current measurements show the lowest levels since 2014, Bitcoin is still trading above $100,000, with US spot ETFs continuing to record billions of dollars inflows.

The contrast may seem counterintuitive, but historically, the low volume of bullish setups indicates that sellers are often out and buyers are quietly building up.

Under these conditions, the market depth will be reduced. Even moderate capital inflows can move prices significantly, with no sell-side resistance.

Chart data supports this pattern through color-coded volume zones. The red boxes marking volume blow-offs and often market-tops have appeared consistently at the end of previous bull cycles, including 2014, 2018 and 2021. No appearances have been made in this cycle so far.

In contrast, the blue-enclosed area emphasizes the super signal. This means that the trend remains upward as volume reaches a deeply suppressed level. These signals have historically appeared in the early or mid-rry period and are not the last.

The current chart is closed with a question mark close to today’s prices, suggesting that the current movement may still be unfolding.

It is important to distinguish between super signals and standard volume pivots.

Not all volume dips lead to strong gatherings. The green pivot of the oscillator identifies periods of moderately low volume, followed by a smaller upward movement. Super signals only occur when the volume is at an unusually low level and the wider price structure remains intact.

Macroeconomic conditions add more context. The fiscal environment has changed again following the passage of “one big beautiful bill,” renewing government spending and adding concerns about long-term liquidity.

Meanwhile, inflation expectations continue to rise, with risky assets increasingly priced for the potential for a softer global financial stance.

In that context, Bitcoin holds a structurally advantageous position. ETF flows continue to provide consistent demand. The pressure on the sell-side is still limited, with trading volumes being reduced and a setup that allows prices to move quickly when fresh capital comes in.

On-chain behavior reflects the transition to accumulation. According to GlassNode, wallets holding 10-100 BTC exhibit a full accumulation score of 1.0, indicating strong and sustained purchasing activity.

The same score is recorded in wallets holding less than one BTC, suggesting that retail interest is also being built.

The accumulation at the bass stage usually reflects optimism. Participants are not in a hurry, but are placed quietly, waiting for confirmation before a larger movement unfolds.

As always, the crypto market is very unstable and nothing is guaranteed. Do your own research and don’t invest more than you can afford to lose.