The Bitcoin (BTC) market has experienced a period of volatility in recent days, marked by a drop to $80,600. However, the recent rally towards $88,000, supported by the market’s dolphins and sharks, suggests a local bottom may be in the offing.
Bitcoin on-chain data reflects that a group of intermediate investors supported the BTC price. this, It’s down 20% from its high.
According to Spanish on-chain analyst Carmelo Aleman, Bitcoin may have hit a local bottom. It will be supported by the accumulation of holders of 100-1,000 BTC, a group consisting of dolphins (100-500 BTC) and sharks (500-1,000 BTC).
What does Bitcoin’s on-chain graph show?
CryptoQuant’s cohort accumulation and distribution graphs clearly demonstrate this divergent behavior. it shows dolphins and sharks Maintain a stable cumulative linerepresented by a reddish stripe. This was before it fell below zero with Bitcoin’s correction, suggesting that Bitcoin had stopped absorbing supply and started providing liquidity to the market.
Even as dolphins and sharks supported Bitcoin prices, its largest relatives, whales and large whales, behaved erratically. the latter, depresses asset prices.
According to Aleman, the group above 1,000 BTC “remains mostly negative” reflecting the sustained sell-off. “The bottom line is that the major companies continue to supply,” he said.
This behavior is reflected in the cumulative/distribution graph below, where both segments are They have been constantly putting pressure on the price of Bitcoin.
The retail industry is also not functioning as a buffer. Aleman points out that holders of 0-1 BTC and 1-10 BTC (fish, crab, octopus) in the past 60 days represent net sales rather than accumulation. The following will look like this:
The bottom line, Aleman said, is that “retailing is not supporting the market, it is contributing to distribution.” He further emphasized that Bitcoin’s recent correction was not only caused by large corporations but also by small holders. They took advantage of the fall to reduce exposure.declares the analyst.
This infographic from CriptoNoticias clearly shows the types of Bitcoin investors. identified as different marine animals:
Wipe out leveraged positions in Bitcoin
The drop to nearly $80,000 wasn’t just caused by the spot market. “Bitcoin’s decline is mainly due to the large-scale liquidation of long positions, selling pressure from futures, and chain liquidations,” the Spanish analyst emphasized.
For experts, “the bottom line is that leverage turned a normal correction into a violent decline.”
Supplementary data from analytics firm Glassnode supports this diagnosis. The company emphasized that Bitcoin’s decline “deepens the ongoing pullback and brings Bitcoin into an area where demand has historically tended to be strong.” Although he revealed that the trend remains bearish.
Glassnode highlights that the mid-$80,000 range represents “significant protection that suggests possible stabilization if selling pressures continue to ease.”
This is evidenced by the momentum indicators remaining oversold and the 14-day relative strength (RSI) showing depletion and starting to turn higher.
According to the market analysis firm, Bitcoin may be forming an “initial bottom structure in the range of $84,000 to $90,000.”
However, Aleman cautions that it is not yet possible to say that a reversal has been confirmed. The key, he says, is a clear change in the whale’s behavior. For him, as long as 1,000-10,000 BTC groups continue to be sold; The bearish trend will continue.
