- If the 231-day cycle pattern is maintained, Bitcoin could reach $175,000 by September 2025.
- The $66K Reclaim and $109K closing are key bullish breakout signals.
- ABC correction of less than $10,000 is considered a core, not a trend reversal.
A recent technical analysis by chart analyst EGRAG suggests that Bitcoin is expected to reach $175,000 by September 2025. The forecast is based on the repetitive patterns of corrections and impulsive cycles that have defined Bitcoin’s macro price actions over the past few years. This analysis focuses on a structured monthly candle chart that reflects consistent historical behavior and highlights specific integration and breakout levels.
This model categorizes Bitcoin movements into alternating “impulse” and “correction” phases. Each revision period spanned approximately 231 days or 33 bars per month, following the upward trend. These phases are part of a larger structural pattern in which temporary pullbacks lead to continued long-term uptick.
#BTC – Get on track to reach $175,000 by September! 🚀🔥
Many of you follow the chart below, and so far it has been 100% accurate. ✅📉📈Well, let me zoom in – we might see a little blip, but that’s not important, but it might be scary… https://t.co/hafgzr6uwv pic.twitter.com/9zo42pvr8a
– Egrag Crypto (@egragcrypto) May 19, 2025
The analysis begins by mapping the decline of Bitcoin in the Bear market in 2022 and the transition to the recovery phase throughout 2023 and 2024. EGRAG identifies three major revision periods that appear during price increases, respectively.
The current modified structure is a rectangular zone ranging from $60,000 to $73,000. Within this band, narrow integration shows short-term indecision before potential movements increase.
The $66,000 level is marked as an important retest area, and if the regeneration is successful, you can set a bullish continuation stage. Egrag’s chart tracks this level with green markers and arrows, indicating that the next upward wave can push Bitcoin to $125,000, $145,000, and sometimes $175,000.
Technical Signal and Key Thresholds
The chart outlines some technical signals that support bullish cases. Breakouts from the integrated zone and multiple closures above bull market support bands are a sign of strong bullishness. Egrag emphasizes that Bitcoin needs to maintain prices above $93,000 in the time frame. A sustained movement below that level can undermine bullish setups.
A closing price above $109,000 is considered the most obvious indication of market strength. Analysts say this level shows the difference between a continuous breakout and a failed gathering. Below $109,000, it can signal bullish papers and potential market weakness.
On the downside, the chart highlights support areas of $59,000, $53,000 and $49,000. These zones represent the potential retracement level if sales pressure rises.
ABC amendments within the bullish framework
Egrag also identifies ABC correction patterns formed from previous highs of nearly $106,000. This pattern means that short-term pullbacks are ongoing, but remain within a larger uptrend. The fix could easily bring Bitcoin to under $100,000. However, this movement is expected to form a core rather than a sustained failure.
The analysis concludes that the ongoing integration phase is consistent with Bitcoin’s historic price action, with breakouts to new, highest-highs on track. The projected blow-off top between $145,000 and $175,000 is considered part of the current cycle, provided structural support remains intact.


