The Ark Invest Asset Management Company has acquired a bold future for Bitcoin (BTC) and raised its price forecast to $2.4 million by 2030.
In the report “Big Ideas2025,” led by CEO Kathy Wood Details of factors that may drive this growthfrom institutional recruitment to government support.
Even in bearish scenarios, the company expects it Currency prices will be quoted over the next five yearsmarks the key moments of digital assets.
New estimates for Bitcoin
In the report, Ark Invest Increases bull projection for 2030 to $2.4 million60% more than the estimate for January 2024, bringing the price to 1.5 million.
This projection means a combined annual growth rate (CAGR) of 72% from December 2024 to the end of 2030.
on the other hand, The basic scenario estimates the price of $1.2 millionCAGR is 53%, and bearish cases project $500,000, equivalent to a CAGR of 32%.
These numbers exceed the 2024 forecast They priced the bassist case at $300,000 and $710,000 And the bass, each.
To elaborate these estimates, Ark Invest used an experimental model that takes into account the liquidity of Bitcoin, discounting coins lost or maintained over the long term.
“Our price target is the total contributions of the Total Directable Market (TAM) at the end of 2030,” said David Puel, analyst at the company. The offer estimate is based on a Bitcoin broadcast calendar, which will reach approximately 20 million units by 2030.
Bitcoin projected the growth engine
The report identifies multiple factors that support the expected increase. First, Institutional investment stands out, especially through cited funds (ETFs). spot.
Ark Invest is participating in this market with the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) that manages 52,604 BTC, as shown on the website.
Furthermore, the report highlights the integration of Bitcoin as “digital gold.” This is a more agile and transparent value reserve than gold. This perception attracts emerging market investors seeking inflation protection And then there was a devaluation of local currency.
Government support has also emerged as an important factor. Countries such as El Salvador and Butane led the adoption of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, and in the United States, President Donald Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 to establish a national Bitcoin Reserve, as reported by Cryptocurrency.
“The US believes it can strengthen the justification of the 7% penetration rate expected in an upward scenario,” the report said.
Finally, the Ministry of Corporate Finance contributes to impulses. Inspired by strategy, it has accumulated Bitcoin since 2020 and is currently the public company with the largest BTC in its portfolio. Other companies diversify their cash reserves in currency and integrate them into their financial strategies.
Unique properties that enhance their value
The adoption factor adds the inherent properties of Bitcoin, making it a long-term solid value reserve. Digital currency guarantees its shortage and distinguishes it from traditional currencies subject to inflation as its supply is limited, with limited supply that will not exceed 21 million BTC..
Furthermore, Bitcoin Its ability to resist censorship and not be affected by confiscation makes it an attractive option in times of crisis. In a scenario in which the government seizes citizens’ money to resolve public debt, Bitcoin is presented as a reliable solution to protecting goods.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, offers users discretion. Although not entirely anonymous, those who want to maintain fund privacy can achieve this by taking appropriate measures. This adds additional appeal to investors.
An experimental model with aggressive vision
Ark Invest clarifies the estimation of its model The experiment is more aggressive than the traditional scenario.
“It is important to emphasize that the estimates made in this methodology are more aggressive than our estimation of a bold, basic, bullish scenario,” Puelll said.
Nevertheless, the company maintains Conservative assumptions in its foundation and bassist case.reflects a balanced approach to market uncertainty.
The combination of institutional recruitment, state support and corporate strategy positions Bitcoin as an asset with significant potential for the next decade.
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