Bitcoin enters a critical 48-hour window that could shape the rest of 2025. On September 30th, cryptocurrency confirms both monthly and quarterly closures. According to analysts, this comes after Bitcoin is immersed in the $109,000-$110,000 range. At the same time, the possibility of a US government closure on October 1 has increased uncertainty, making this period of closure one of the most important things of the year.
When Bitcoin ended in positive territory in September, history often shows that it fuels its months of gatherings. Green September closed in 2015, 2016 and 2023, and everything caused a strong run and continued into the next few months.
October, often referred to as Uptober, is Bitcoin’s strongest month, with an average profit of over 20%. At present, attention is focused on the $105,000 level, widely seen as a keyline that can determine whether momentum will increase or weaken.
ETF deadline adds fuel to the fire
October will also bring fresh catalysts with several looming ETF deadlines. The Securities and Exchange Commission is preparing decisions regarding Solana, XRP, Litecoin and Dogecoin ETFs over the coming weeks.
Solana is in the spotlight, with a deadline of October 10th, allowing you to clear your first Spot ETF path. With approval, transactions could begin within a few days and bring a new wave of influx into the market.
With some approvals gathered together, October could mark the largest ETF-driven event in the history of digital assets. Larger holders have already returned the stubcoins to exchange and reset open interest after the decline in September, making the conditions for a critical move.
Whether Bitcoin can hold the $105,000 line or slip underneath it could set the tone for the last quarter of this year. These next 48 hours could prove to be the true turning point of this cycle.
