The Federal Reserve is now just days away from halting its multi-year balance sheet reduction, and this change is starting to ripple through the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency debate. The end of quantitative tightening (QT) is a clear shift in monetary policy, and analysts are already pointing out historical parallels with the last time QT was halted. One special analysis emphasize the method The shift to liquidity expansion in the previous QT was associated with an alt season, leading to expectations that the same thing could happen again.
The Last Days of QT and What It Means for Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies
Quantitative tightening has put steady pressure on liquidity since 2022. However, the most recent policy decision (end of October 2025) The US Federal Reserve decided to suspend Balance sheet runoff and QT suspension as of December 1, 2025.
The end of quantitative tightening means a transition to a more accommodating environment where liquidity is no longer reduced and investor confidence is gradually restored. This is especially important for the cryptocurrency sector, which tends to thrive when monetary conditions ease and capital becomes more liquid.
QT will officially end in 7 days, which will mark the end of the most restrictive monetary phase in years. As seen in previous cycles, QT’s conclusion in late 2019 was the beginning of an intense rally across altcoin markets. As much as altcoins are currently favored by investors, they have endured years of poor performance. Bitcoin and even gold. The macro environment was not friendly to high-risk assets, which suppressed volatility and inflows.
However, this is expected to end when QT ends. The premise is based on when QT last ended. In the market at the time, many tokens rose between 10x and 100x in a matter of months.
The same setup is forming again in November 2025, where we can see many major altcoins such as XRP and XRP. Dogecoin is starting to outperform. Bitcoin in December 2025 and many altcoins with low to mid market capitalizations will rise 10x and 100x in the first few months of 2026.
Other/BTC Charts. Source: @CryptoReviewing On X
OTHERS/BTC chart and breakout signs
An important part of this forecast is based on the OTHERS/BTC chart, which compares Bitcoin across markets, excluding the top 10 cryptocurrencies. As you can see in the chart above, since the last round of quantitative tightening ended, altcoin markets have outperformed Bitcoin by nearly 630% in the 845 days since.
Currently, OTHERS/BTC activity is taking place in what appears to be a falling wedge pattern with a series of lower highs and lower lows. This pattern is known to be mostly optimistic, where predictions are break through strong At the upper resistance trend line.
The chart projects another 845-day expansion period, matching the previous cycle, once QT officially ends. If a similar pattern develops, the expected potential profit for the OTHERS/BTC ratio is over 300%.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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