Professor Jiang’s Bitcoin conspiracy exploits war and imperial anxieties

The much-talked-about “predictive historian” Jiang has reimagined Bitcoin as a CIA war surveillance tool and an axis of decline for the US empire, mixing sharp geopolitical readings with conspiratorial leaps.

Beijing-based teacher Jiang Xueqin, a self-proclaimed “prophetic historian” who shot to fame after predicting President Donald Trump’s return to the White House and a disastrous US-Iran conflict, is currently reevaluating Bitcoin ($BTC) as an instrument of American empire and the hinge of the looming New World Order. In recent talks and clips that have gone viral on YouTube, TikTok, and X, Jiang argues that the world is witnessing “the end of the overextension of the American empire” and that the financial fallout will once again force Bitcoin into a “structurally different regime” rather than a cyclical boom. He frames his analysis as “predictive history,” a fusion of structural geopolitics and game theory designed to, in his words, “test models against reality, like an artificial intelligence system.”

In a widely shared breakdown of the Bitcoin theory, Jiang argues that the cryptocurrency is not the work of a lone cypherpunk but a Pentagon project designed as the “ultimate surveillance technology,” repeating variations on the line “Bitcoin was created by the CIA and the deep state.” He told viewers that Satoshi Nakamoto’s anonymity was “systematically questionable” and claimed that only a government-backed team had the “time, money, servers and technical expertise” to roll out a global financial network. At the same time, he leans into points of fact that mainstream analysts and chain forensics firms agree on. That said, Bitcoin’s public ledger allows authorities to track the flow of illicit funds in far greater detail than cash.

Jiang’s crypto worldview is closely tied to his geopolitical playbook. In multiple interviews and classroom lectures that have been reproduced online, he links America’s “imperial overreach” in the Persian Gulf to a series of events in which military failures accelerated the erosion of the dollar, pushed capital out of government bonds and into hard assets, and ultimately sent Bitcoin “nuclear.” One popular YouTube macro-finance commentator built on his framework describes Bitcoin as “the most liquidity-sensitive asset on the planet,” noting that “every dollar in monetized conflict costs is a dollar entering the global financial system in search of a hard asset with fixed supply,” and Bitcoin’s 21 million cap is presented as the end of that chain. In this scenario, the Bitcoin cycle is “not driven by the halving” but “by the fiscal response to imperial overexpansion,” the video claims, directly applying Jiang’s method. $BTCtrajectory.

This framework is already resonating with traders who use Bitcoin as a barometer of war risk. Bloomberg recently reported that “cryptocurrency markets are once again the only open window into how traders are pricing the continuing conflict” in Iran, as spot and derivatives flows react in real time to headlines of escalation. Bitcoin traded in the mid-$60,000 to low-$70,000 range in March, and some market forecasts predict it could head toward around $73,000 to $79,000 this month, although volatility remains high. Even mainstream price points are now routinely set $BTC Within the matrix of war risk, dollar policy, and ETF-driven institutional demand.

Jiang’s rise has been fueled by the perception that he “invited” both Trump’s 2024 victory and the ensuing US-Iran war, a prediction amplified by crypto traders, TikTok creators, and even long-form podcasts. His YouTube channel “Predictive History” consists of largely unedited classroom lectures in which he maps great power cycles and “changing world order” for high school students in Beijing, according to his detailed profile. But academic critics and archaeologists reacted fiercely, warning that his method replaced evidence with a grand narrative. In a recent debunking video, archaeologist Flint Dibble described Jiang Zemin as “a kook who spreads extremely harmful conspiracy theories” and stressed that “his predictions about the future are rarely accurate…A broken clock is accurate twice a day.”

The same tension defines his Bitcoin work. A detailed breakdown of “Professor Jiang’s theory on the origins of Bitcoin” acknowledges that he “mixes verifiable fact with unsubstantiated leaps of logic,” and that while DARPA sowed the seeds of the early internet and that Bitcoin’s transparency aids law enforcement, “there is no public evidence linking the creation of Bitcoin to DARPA, the Department of Defense, or the CIA.” Instead, Jiang’s story embeds cryptocurrencies within a larger narrative of the end of US hegemony, the rise of a multipolar order, and the search for new monetary anchors. This narrative is shaping how a growing number of retail traders interpret each tick on Bitcoin’s price chart, whether or not his “prediction history” ultimately passes its own reality test.

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