Bitcoin price attempted to climb above $90,000 on the last day of 2025 after several weeks of declines. ultimately failed Defend this level until the annual close. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,750. This means we ended 2025 below $100,000.
This price action has put pressure on sentiment, with indicators on higher time frames suggesting fatigue is growing. The way Bitcoin ends 2025 could have deeper implications, according to a three-month candlestick analysis that analyst Greeny shared for X. More than most traders currently understand.
Points that weaken the 3-month downward trend
factitious analyze Bitcoin’s price action over a three-month candlestick period shows that the cryptocurrency printed a large bearish candle that completely outpaced its previous quarterly gains. These types of candles are rare over such long time frames and usually indicate a decisive transfer of control from buyers to sellers.
The chart shared by Greeny shows this engulfing structure formed after Bitcoin failed to sustain beyond 2025. October high exceeds $120,000 And this Distribution has ended this year.
Interestingly, $106,700 is an important level going forward as it corresponds to the bottom of the previous three-month candle. With Bitcoin currently trading below that zone, it has transitioned from a support zone to a strong resistance zone for the Q1 price action. Any recovery attempt in early 2026 must convincingly restore this level. To avoid further rejection.
Additionally, the stochastic level near $108,000 is another important level to look at for Bitcoin’s price action in the first quarter of 2026. According to Greeny, if the Bitcoin price closes below this area after the first quarter, it means there is continued downward pressure. Together these levels form a solid ceiling overhead. That means even powerful relief rallies can struggle. Transition to a sustainable upward trend As we welcome the new year.
Bitcoin 3-month candlestick price chart: @greenytrades on X
Stochastic depletion refers to possible cycle peaks.
Another related element of Greeny analysis focuses on stochastic indicators. According to analysts, this is the first time in Bitcoin history that the stochasticity has reached the 80th percentile for three months. This is notable because it is an area typically associated with fatigue and local or bullish cycle peaks.
The chart also shows a red moving average that crosses above the blue while below the stochastic band. Greeny interprets this formation as confirming a local high. This setup likely marks the end of the current bull cycle and will only be invalidated if Bitcoin closes above $108,000 by the end of March.
Liquidity conditions for the entire cryptocurrency market have strengthened until the end of 2025 due to centralization. Japanese banks maintain Higher interest rates. This has led to Bitcoin underperforming compared to other notable assets. On the other hand, precious metals such as Gold and silver have been pushed to new record highs.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
editing process for focuses on providing thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We adhere to strict sourcing standards, and each page is diligently reviewed by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of the content for readers.
