Bitcoin ($BTC) is rapidly approaching buy levels, which analysts describe as a prime “opportunity.”
Important points:
- Bitcoin only needs to drop another $5,000 to reach the buy-in level that has always marked the bottom zone of bear markets.
- This “best” area for investment is currently attracting the attention of traders and analysts.
- PlanB says returns below this level are “possible” during the 2026 bear market.
$BTC Price is approaching the typical bear market buy-in zone
Data from on-chain analytics platform cryptoquant it shows $BTC/USD is less than 10% away from its total realized price.
The realized price is the average price at that time. $BTC The supply was last moved on-chain and is now around $53,300. $BTC/USD has not traded below it since the end of the last bear market in 2022, according to TradingView data.
“Looking back, during each repeated bear market, there was a dark period when Bitcoin was below its realized price, but that was the best investment opportunity for Bitcoin,” commented CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Sunmoon.
$BTC1-week chart of /USD with realized price data. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
There are different iterations of the realized price, reflecting the total cost base of different Bitcoin investor cohorts.
However, given its role as a bottom marker in a potential bear market, market participants are eager for the return of broader cost standards.
“If the moment comes again when the price is below the realized price, we recommend investing for a new cycle,” CryptoQuant suggested.
Bitcoin is “likely” to fall below realized price
In recent months, PlanB, the pseudonymous creator of Stock-to-Flow, $BTC The pricing model lists a decline below the realized price as one of two important conditions that must be met to ensure a trend reversal.
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The other is a candlestick close below the 200-week moving average (WMA). started a few weeks ago.
“It’s a 50-50 decision on whether February’s $60,000 is the bottom or whether the bear market continues,” he said. ×post At the beginning of June.
“According to IMO data, we have not seen a bottom formation yet and there is a >50% probability of a decline (below 200wma $61,000 or realized price of $53,000).”
Bitcoin realized price data. Source: Plan B/X
in Later postPlanB added that Bitcoin is “likely to fall” below its realized price.
Continuing on to the realized price, commentator Aaron Bennett said that a drop to a major level is still possible, despite the presence of institutional holders who have not participated in previous bear markets.
“I would be surprised if we don’t get to this or fall below that for a few weeks,” he said. said Last week I had X followers.
