After a dismal start to the year, the Bitcoin price has steadied the ship somewhat over the past two months. According to price action data, the flagship cryptocurrency ended both March and April in the green, with double-digit performance in the previous month.
However, the latest historical data suggests that Bitcoin price may be headed for a turbulent month in May. This forecast is based on the premise, or perhaps the fact, that no market leader has ever posted three consecutive months of positive returns during a bear market.
Will BTC break or maintain this pattern in May 2026?
In a May 2 post on social media platform According to market experts, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has never posted three consecutive months of profits during a bear market.
Highlighting data from the past 13 years, Crypto Rover pointed out BTC’s uninspiring performance during previous bear markets (2014, 2018, 2022). Historical data shows that the top cryptocurrencies showed positive results for up to four months during this 12-month period, with the highest gain (39.46%) occurring in May 2014.
Interestingly, May has historically been a positive month for Bitcoin price. There have been significant gains in seven of the past 12 years, including the past two years. However, it is worth noting that BTC has never recorded three consecutive positive May performances.
Source: @cryptorover on XNow, the price of Bitcoin has been in a bear market since late last year, and is locked in a sustained decline into early 2026. Up almost 2% in March, 12% in April, and now up around 3% in May, BTC price looks set to break unprecedented records if it ends the month in the green.
But if history is anything to go by, Bitcoin’s price recovery journey may soon face its first major hurdle. Moreover, on-chain data shows that BTC’s resurgence is largely driven by futures markets rather than actual spot demand, making it difficult to predict how this bear market year will play out for the flagship cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin Price Overview
As of this writing, the BTC price is around $78,367 and has not changed significantly over the past 24 hours. The market leader is up just 1% over the past seven days, according to CoinGecko data.
However, when viewed in a broader context or time frame, Bitcoin appears to be one of the best performing large cryptocurrencies. Price data shows that the coin has regained more than 17% of its value over the past 30 days.
The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
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