bitcoin price You have entered another entry. There are patterns in the post-FOMC period that have become harder to ignore. Bitcoin has sold off in the week since eight of the last nine FOMC meetings, with an average seven-day decline of nearly 11%, according to cryptocurrency analyst and commentator Ardi.
That history is now being tested again. Bitcoin was trading around $77,000 around the recent Federal Reserve decision, and history provides some hints: What will the price action be like? Solve it in the next few days.
Bitcoin Trends in the Weeks After FOMC
The Federal Reserve concluded its April 28-29 meeting on Wednesday and left interest rates unchanged in its target range of 3.50% to 3.75%. this decision I was already expecting itCME FedWatch rated the hold probability at 99% a few days ago.
Ardi, cryptocurrency analyst and commentator He published his research results in . X is shown with Bitcoin daily chart from May 2025 to the end of April 2026. According to his observations, Bitcoin has sold heavily in the week following eight of the last nine FOMC meetings. The only exception was May 2025. At that time, BTC was already down about 24% from its all-time high before the session even started.
In all other meetings, there was a drop after the decision. Policy direction was largely irrelevant, and whether the Fed cut or held interest rates or made hawkish comments, Bitcoin prices fell.
The chart shared by Ardi shows the pattern visually with successive red areas showing post-FOMC selling windows spanning September, October, and December 2025, and January and March 2026. BTC surpassed $126,000 in October 2025 and reached an all-time high of $60,000 by early February 2026.
Average decline of 11%
Ardi’s data does more than simply point the way. The trend is that Bitcoin has fallen in eight of the last nine periods since the FOMC, averaging about 11% declines over the following weeks.
Applied to the price of BTC heading into this week’s meeting, it has been trading in a range of $76,000-$79,000 after a 21% rise from its early April low near $65,000, with an 11% decline taking the price back to $70,000 within the next week.
the fed said Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace, he said, but he pointed to rising inflation linked in part to rising global energy prices. This is important for Bitcoin because the asset is very sensitive to liquidity expectations. A clear path to rate cuts would boost risk appetite, weaken the dollar, and improve sentiment across the cryptocurrency industry. A cautious Fed environment is the opposite.
On the one hand, Bitcoin has already recovered significantly from its recent lows. Better April Trends. On the other hand, the FOMC meeting puts Bitcoin in a dangerous historical position where it could return to $70,000 in the coming days.
Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
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