A cryptocurrency analyst is questioning whether the famous four-year cycle theory that dominated Bitcoin (BTC) market trajectory in the past is now dead. Shared by experts BTC price movement And investor trends prove that cyclical theory is still alive and well in the current market cycle.
Analysts say Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is still active.
In a May 23 X post, cryptocurrency analyst Mags said: high Concerns about whether Bitcoin’s “four-year cycle is over.” This debate has been spreading throughout the market for several months, with some experts such as strategy CEOs. Michael Saylor said the four-year cycle is over. Others believe it is still active.
In response to Mags’ post, many cryptocurrency community members also compared this cycle to past cycles. them famous The current BTC market is significantly different from previous cycles. The emergence of spot ETFsIncreasing institutional flow and expanding adoption.
However, after examining and comparing these cycles himself, Mags noted that each cycle matched the next almost perfectly. In the attached chart, the analyst pointed to the four-year cycle from 2011 to 2014, highlighting how the market moved through distinct phases of investor activity and price movements during that period.
In 2011, the price of Bitcoin fell, providing investors with a buying opportunity. In the second year, Bitcoin began to rise and investors simply held onto the tokens to allow them to grow. By 2013, the price had risen to near peak levels, which analysts noted was when most investors began selling BTC. In the fourth and final year of the cycle, the market crashed and prices plummeted. Mags described this as a bear market phase, representing the final phase of the previous one. new upward cycle It started.
In particular, the same four-stage annual trend was observed during the 2015–2018 and 2019–2022 cycles. Maggs also pointed out that Bitcoin has already passed the buy phase in 2023, the hold phase in 2024, and the sell phase in 2025, and stated that the cyclical theory is actively operating in the current cycle. Based on this, Maggs said: BTC is currently in a bear market phase.This is consistent with the recent sideways movement of cryptocurrency, continuous price decline.
What the theory says about the 2027-2030 cycle
In his analysis, Mags goes further to predict what the next cycle will look like after the current cycle ends. He suggested that the 2027-2030 cycle could follow a similar pattern, with Bitcoin experiencing the same buy, hold, sell, and bear market phases each year.
He said that if this structure is maintained, Next main accumulation window Investors and traders will arrive in 2027, one year ahead of the next bull market. Mags objected to the speculation: 4 year cycle is overThe structure declared that it was “still on track and everything is going perfectly.”
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
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