The TRIX indicator, which has reliably shown Bitcoin’s lowest price each cycle since 2015, has identified where the asset is likely to bottom in the current cycle.
Bitcoin ($BTC) It plunged to a floor price of $60,000 in early February, and market analysts are still assessing whether this marked the bottom of the cycle. Amid the uncertainty, data from the reliable TRIX indicator shows that Bitcoin could bottom near $30,000 this cycle.
Important points
- Bitcoin’s lowest price during this cycle was $60,000 during the crash in early February 2026.
- Some analysts believe this is the bottom of the economic cycle, but the TRIX indicator suggests that prices could fall further.
- This indicator has reliably signaled the bottom of the Bitcoin cycle since 2015 through a downward trendline on the one-month chart.
- If historical trends continue playdata shows Bitcoin could bottom at around $30,000 this cycle.
What is the TRIX indicator?
Bitcoin analyst CryptoCon recently highlighted This trend, make a call it’s a simple observation Bitcoin bottom cycle. What you should pay attention to is chart data show What the TRIX indicator has persistently Signals a multi-cycle bottom for Bitcoin That’s all Ten years.
For the uninitiated, the TRIX indicator (Triple Exponential Average) is a tool used by analysts to measure momentum. It is derived from a triple-smoothed exponential moving average of asset prices and helps reduce market noise and provide a clearer picture of underlying trends.
The indicator oscillates above and below the central zero level. Specifically, a line above zero typically indicates upward momentum, while a movement below zero confirms that the market is exhibiting downward momentum. Bitcoin TRIX is at #298 on the monthly chart.
Bitcoin TRIX indicator trend
In CryptoCon’s analysis, market watchers have drawn a downward trend line that is consistent with the movement of the TRIX indicator since 2015. Interestingly, the data shows that every time the indicator falls to retest this trend line, it marks the bottom for Bitcoin at that point in the cycle.
This pattern first appeared in early 2015 for Bitcoin. of $166 bottom January 2015 coincided with a downward retest of the trend line.
Meanwhile, in 2018, during the then bear market, Bitcoin fell to a bottom of $3,125 by December. Again, this coincided with a downward retest of the downtrend line.
When the TRIX indicator crashed to test the trend line in November 2022, the price of Bitcoin crashed to $15,500. Aftermath of FTX implosion. This price marked the bottom of Bitcoin’s cycle.
Possibility of Bitcoin bottoming this cycle
Further data on the chart shows that the indicator has continued its downward trend since late 2025, but has yet to retest the downtrend line despite Bitcoin’s significant price drop. under The current price is $74,600, an increase of nearly 15% this year.
Since the TRIX line moves in sync with Bitcoin price fluctuations, the crypto asset must continue to fall in line with the indicator. Finally, retest the trend line. CryptoCon charts show This retest is Bitcoin price is around $30,000could be probably mark at the bottom for This cycle.
Current price starts from approximately $74,600, $BTC It would need to fall nearly 60% to reach the $30,000 level. This represents a 76% drawdown from the all-time high of $126,000 in late 2025, and is consistent with similar drawdowns in past cycles.
